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The following table shows Tim Hayes final probability calculations after he corrected for "six errors." Actually, there were only one or two errors at most (he was wrong in discounting the others). One of the six errors was in favor of theomatics.

http://www.ableever.net/Apologetics/Theomatics/Theom-Lk15/Theom-Lk15-Errors/theom-lk15-errors.html

It should be noted that these results are similar to Kurt Fettelschos's final and very conservative calculations.

This entire analysis on this Luke 15 passage is exhaustive and complete—there is no wiggle room left. The one in a million odds is extremely conservative. (Note: Examining the data based upon the actual word length average of the theomatic hits, produces odds that are many-fold greater.)

A probability this low should overwhelmingly impress any statistician who is unbiased. Any mathematical odds of a million to one is considered by all scientific method standards, remarkable and exceedingly significant.

The reason Tim Hayes does not give Theomatics any credit for these astounding odds, is because he is basing his conclusion exclusively upon the MOS standard, which is invalid.

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Correcting all six errors affects the final calculated probability of both the hit and cluster events occurring for each phrase length. The published values for the 4-word phrases are .00002606 x .00611 = .00000015923 with odds of 1:6,280,224 (p. 44). The correct values are .00012678 x .80116 = .00010157 with odds of 1:9845. The 3-word and 2-word calculations require similar adjustment.

L

Old hit p-value

Old CS p-value

Old Final p-value

Old Odds

New hit p-value

New CS p-value

New Final p-value

New Odds

4

2.6098E-05

.00611

1.5923E-07

6,271,293

1.2678E-04

.80116

1.0157E-4

9,845

3

6.8727E-07

.00563

3.8699E-09

258,402,863

7.3054E-05

.18664

1.3635E-5

73,341

2

1.1801E-09

.00452

5.3302E-12

1.8761E+11

8.8862E-068

.09001

7.9985E-7

1,250,239

The author has inflated results 1,000-fold for 4-word phrases, 10,000-fold for 3-word phrases and 100,000-fold for 2-word phrases. While these adjustments may not materially affect one's conclusion at this point in the analysis (though we do not find these results impressive), they do eventually have a clear and significant bearing in the final analysis.

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